Monday, January 01, 2007

With the First Pick in the 2007 NFL Draft...

...the Oakland Raiders select...hopefully nobody.

QB is a big position of need for the Raiders, but this is not the year to grab a franchise QB in my opinion. Brady Quinn is likely to be the top overall pick, but I'm not a big believer in him. JaMarcus Russel is billed to be the second best QB in the draft...ditto on him.

I would like to see the Raiders trade down and take a RB...either Peterson or Lynch. Either of those guys could come in and contribute right away. With LaMont Jordan likely getting cut this offseason (he is due for a lot of money, and has shown himself to be clearly not worth it), the Raiders really need a solid young every-down back. Justin Fargas isn't durable enough to be the guy.

Obviously, I'm partial to Marshawn Lynch because he is arguably the best player coming out of Cal in decades. Also, the guy just looks like an Oakland Raider. His nappy hair and grill are all Oaktown. Marshawn is a guy who is big on family, and his family is in the east bay...so it seems like a good fit in many respects.

Unfortunately, I don't think the market for the top pick is going to be all that hot this year. Brady Quinn is the consensus #1 at this point, but I don't see him generating a lot of trade-up interest. Al Davis doesn't get a top pick every day (though he will probably be getting more in the near future), and he's not going to just give it away. On the other hand, not even Al Davis is crazy enough to go with someone other than Quinn with the first pick in this draft. There really is no clear competition for the top spot. It's pretty much Quinn all the way.

Dream scenario for the Raiders: Trade down a few spots, grab AP plus a first rounder next year and a third rounder this year, and get Troy Smith at the top of the second round. Then draft some O-Line.

Likely scenario for the Raiders: They are stuck with Quinn, who gets murdered just like Andrew Walter has been.

I'm also interested to see what the Lions do. Maybe they are the ones who will give the Raiders some value, because it seems to me that Quinn is a great fit there. They are also in need of a franchise QB, and Mike Martz could turn Quinn into a gunslinger in the Marc Bulger mold, which definitely could work. The funny thing is, the #2 pick in this draft probably should be WR Calvin Johnson, but if Millen picks another first round WR this year, he might get shot. Detroit is running out of patience.

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