Pretty Good 2007 NFL Mock Draft

Decent mock drafts are hard to come by, but this one looked pretty good.

http://www.nfldraftcountdown.com/sub/mockdraft.html

Quinn probably will be #1 overall, which will probably make him a Detroit Lion. They could use him, although there's a good chance he goes the way of Joey Harrington. Or maybe not...they spent a lot of high picks on WR talent, some of which has panned out (though most of it hasn't), so if they can get any protection at all for their QB, there are some tools there. I'm not a big Quinn fan, but I think he'd be a major improvement on any QB they have in Detroit right now, so it's a pretty good fit.

Raiders likely get #2. I'm a Raiders fan, and I would love to see them grab either Peterson or Lynch. I'd say Peterson is more likely at that spot. A good young back could come in and help out their horrible excuse for an offense right away. They probably won't do that, though. I'm thinking they take Calvin Johnson...very talented WR, but not someone who will come in and help out right away (WR's rarely do, though I don't think Matt Millen ever got that memo). Then they will pile expectations on him, he won't live up to them, and the Raiders will ruin yet another promising career (see Marcus Allen, Jerry Porter, etc.)

Overall, I think the Scott Wright mock draft is pretty good, though I have to think Peterson will go higher than #9 (I'd be very surprised to see him fall past the Texans), Ginn will go higher than 15 (he's just the playmaker the 49ers need on offense), Lynch will go higher than 20 (he would make a nice addition to the Titans backfield with Vince Young, and I couldn't see him falling past the Giants with Tiki retiring), Jarrett will go higher than 21 (he could push for early playing time in Atlanta alongside Lelie), and Brohm will go higher than 22 (Vikings, Falcons and Panthers all have to be taking a hard look at him...maybe someone will pull a Denver and trade up to take him somewhere in the teens). Posluszny should go higher than 27, too...maybe Jets or Chiefs.

But I could be wrong. Wright's mock draft is pretty good.

Admiral's 2006 Score Card

Looking back at the predictions I made over the course of the year...top 5 things I got right, and top 5 things I got wrong:

CORRECT:

1) Koetter made a huge mistake letting Sam Keller go...beginning of the end for Arizona State.

Koetter lost his job, in large part over this very poor decision. Arizona State has hired Dennis Erickson. We'll see how that goes.

2) Phil Rivers will be a great QB, and the Chargers will dominate the AFC West.

Check.

3) USC would lose to either Oregon, Cal, Notre Dame, or UCLA.

I was right, but I definitely couldn't have guessed at the time which one it would be.

4) Jake Plummer's days as the starting QB of the Broncos are numbered.

Yup. Not the toughest call in the world to make, but accurate nonetheless.

5) Matt Leinart will make the teams who passed on him regret it.

Largely true. I would say over half of the teams who passed on Leinart would rather have him now than whoever they picked. Including the Texans at #1.


WRONG!

1) Vince Young will never be a starting QB in the NFL.

I'm very happy to say that I was completely, entirely, 100% wrong about Vince Young. He's the next big thing.

2) The Texans taking Mario over Reggie was not as bad as people think.

No, it was worse. Reggie is clearly going to be something special. Mario...eh, not so much.

3) The Tigers will miss the playoffs.

Oops, did I say that? I guess it was wishful thinking, since they kicked the crap out of my A's on their way to a World Series.

4) The 49ers brought in Trent Dilfer to be a starter.

That may have been what they had in mind, but Alex Smith is showing signs of life.

5) The Jason Grimsley saga will force Bug Selig to get serious about controlling drug abuse in baseball.

Nope. If this didn't do it, nothing will (except maybe the public outcry when Bonds breaks the HR record next year).